Trump's Chance Of Winning Republican Nomination Or Presidential Race Increases With Iowa Victory

Many people have since last summer dismissed the idea that Donald Trump could win the Republican nomination, not to mention the 2016 U.S. presidential race, but some are rethinking that assumption as the billionaire is poised to win Iowa's Republican caucuses Monday.

Trump leads his major Republican rival and Texas Senator Ted Cruz by 28 percent to 23 percent in Iowa, according to a Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll released Saturday.

A win in Iowa, which has a 50 percent success rate at predicting the candidate's becoming a party presidential nominee, will greatly boost Trump's chance of winning the Republican Party's (GOP's) nomination.

Indeed, some U.S. experts now say the bombastic businessman could actually win not only the GOP nomination, but also the White House -- if everything falls perfectly into place.

Republican strategist Ford O'Connell spelled out how Trump could win.

If Trump runs a strong campaign and gets a strong turnout of rank-and-file GOP voters, and at the same time if Clinton runs a weak campaign, then Trump could well win the White House in 2016, he said.

"Anything is possible. He is always exceeding expectations. And there is a real chance that he could win a general election if the right things fall into place," O'Connell told Xinhua.

Read more from Xinhua

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Analysis & Political Strategy