Obama, Romney Enthusiasm Gap?

From Jeffrey M. Jones at Gallup:

If asked to choose between them today, 49% of U.S. registered voters say they would vote for Barack Obama for president, while 45% would choose likely Republican opponent Mitt Romney. While Obama's advantage is not statistically significant, it is the largest he has had over Romney in Gallup polling to date.

The momentum in the 2012 U.S. presidential election appears to be going in Obama's favor; he now enjoys his best positioning against likely Republican nominee Romney nationally and in key swing states to this point in the campaign. Obama's improved standing may result from Americans' improving confidence in the economy and satisfaction with the way things are going in the United States.

Still, the election remains competitive, in that Obama's advantage nationally is not a statistically significant lead. As Republicans try to halt Obama's momentum, one potential hurdle for the party -- and for Romney supporters in particular -- is their declining enthusiasm about voting this year.

Trend: Preferences if Presidential Election Were Held Today, Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney, Among Registered Voters 

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published this page in In The News 2012-04-02 11:34:00 -0400
Analysis & Political Strategy