Maryland Moderate Larry Hogan Is No Threat To Trump, Say Analysts

Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan said he hasn’t decided whether to challenge President Trump in 2020, but he might just want to sit this one out, according to political analysts and poll data.

Hogan, 62, is extremely popular in his traditionally blue state. He boasts a 69 percent approval rating, and he won re-election in 2018 by double digits over challenger Ben Jealous.

His unique success in Maryland and his public opposition to the president has led to intense speculation about his political future and whether he could pose a serious threat to Trump, whose own approval ratings have remained tepid throughout his presidency. Hogan has fueled those talks by publicly mulling a primary challenge.

Barring a blockbuster report from Mueller, Hogan would appear to stand no chance against Trump.

History is on Trump's side. Republican incumbents have won three out of every four elections, Ford O’Connell, a GOP strategist, told the Washington Examiner.

Trump is also wildly popular with his core supporters, and if he were somehow dropped from the ticket, O’Connell said, many of those voters would stay home in November 2020.

“And nobody has the type of enthusiasm necessary among the Republican base,” O’Connell said. “It’s about intensity. Donald Trump gives you the best chance to win the White House.”

Read more from Susan Ferrechio at the Washington Examiner

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Analysis & Political Strategy