Historic Hurdle: Can Romney Lose His Home & Native State, And Win White House?

The chances of Mitt Romney winning Masachusetts (him home state) in 2012 are just short of impossible. His chances in his native Michigan are much better, but are still a stretch at this point. If Romney loses both states, but wins the White House - he will have cleared a historic hurdle. The Washington Post's Greg Sargent has more:

[T]o find someone who was elected without winning either, you have to reach back 168 years to [James] Polk, who was elected president in 1844 despite losing his native state of North Carolina and his home state of Tennessee, where he had been Governor.

Romney will likely have to duplicate that feat. He isn’t contesting Massachuetts, his state of residence, and the odds are against him in his native state of Michigan, because of his opposition to the bailout.

What does it mean? This rare set of historical circumstances is notnecessarily predictive, but it goes right to the heart of an odd fact about Romney: He doesn’t really have a geographical base of his own; it’s one he’s inheriting as a generic Republican candidate.

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published this page in In The News 2012-05-18 17:00:00 -0400
Analysis & Political Strategy