Gingrich Continues To Surge In South Carolina, Projected To Win

South Carolina polls close tonight at 7:00 PM ET. The latest survey from Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is continuing to surge in the Palmetto State.

Newt Gingrich heads into South Carolina election day as the clear front runner in the state: he's now polling at 37% to 28% for Mitt Romney, 16% for Rick Santorum, and 14% for Ron Paul.

Gingrich's lead has actually increased in the wake of his ex-wife's controversial interview with ABC. Although one night poll results should always be interpreted with caution, he led the final night of the field period by a 40-26 margin. One thing that continues to work to his advantage are the debates. 60% of primary voters report having watched the one last night, and Gingrich has a 46-23 lead with those folks.

Nate Silver at the New York Times projects Gingrich to win South Carolina with 38.7% of the vote.

The FiveThirtyEight forecast model, which heavily weights the most recent polling and a candidate’s momentum, now projects Mr. Gingrich to win South Carolina by just under 10 points, forecasting him for 38.7 percent of the vote to Mr. Romney’s 29.3 percent.

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published this page in In The News 2012-01-21 15:36:00 -0500
Analysis & Political Strategy