Given a choice between Barack Obama and an unnamed Republican, 43% of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for Obama and 40% are more likely to vote for the Republican. This is essentially unchanged from April and February, when voters’ preferences were evenly split.
The May 5-8 Gallup poll, conducted after the death of Osama bin Laden, did not pick up the same rally effect in support for Obama’s re-election as Gallup Daily tracking has found in the president’s job approval rating.
Americans’ higher approval of Obama after the mission against bin Laden appears largely detached from their willingness to support him for re-election in 2012. The president’s approval rating rose much more over the past week among Republicans than among independents and Democrats — perhaps reflecting Republicans’ greater support for killing the al Qaeda leader — but that has convinced few in this largely conservative voting bloc to switch sides in the 2012 general election.