Donald Trump’s Loving New York

Donald Trump is hoping a lopsided win in New York will pump some much-needed momentum into his campaign and help the GOP front-runner avoid a contested convention after a series of disappointing primary losses.

Trump is expected to run away with today’s primary — an Emerson College poll released yesterday shows the brash billionaire holding a 34-point lead over his closest rival, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, and a 37-point edge over Cruz.

And while recent polling suggests Trump is all but guaranteed a win in his home state, the casino and real estate magnate will have to surpass the 50 percent threshold in all of New York’s 27 congressional districts if he wants to take home all 95 GOP delegates.

Trump leads the Republican race with 744 delegates, ahead of Cruz with 559 and Kasich with 144. It takes 1,237 delegates to score the GOP nod and winning another 95 in New York could help swing the momentum of the race heading into next week’s contests in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island.

“If he wins all 95 he’d be exceeding expectations and that could certainly have a ripple effect heading into next week,” said GOP strategist Ford O’Connell, who’s unaffiliated with any camp. “The month of April should be the month of Trump. There’s no better cure for bad campaign news than winning — and winning big is even better.”

Read more from Owen Boss at the Boston Herald

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Analysis & Political Strategy