The Hill asked pundits from both parties, and one independent, to predict the winners in today's Iowa caucuses. Here's what they had to say.
Winner: Trump (by a full head of hair)
On paper, any political junkie would think Cruz's candidacy is tailor-made to win the 2016 Iowa caucuses (ethanol aside). The state has an outsized evangelical population and Cruz's campaign has been focused on the ground game needed to win in a caucus format from the beginning. But nothing in this cycle has gone according to the traditional script. While Trump might not meet the checklist of an ideological conservative whom Iowans tend to lust after, his bravado will win the day in the Hawkeye State precisely because many Iowa Republicans believe he will fight for them. When faced with that proposition, any good political strategist knows emotion trumps logic nearly every time in a tightly contested battle.
O'Connell is the chairman of CivicForumPAC, worked on John McCain's 2008 presidential campaign and is author of the book "Hail Mary: The 10-Step Playbook for Republican Recovery."