A month after the Pennsylvania primary, Rep. Joe Sestak (D) and Pat Toomey (R) are dead even in the race to replace Arlen Specter in the U.S. Senate, at 41% each. The last time Public Policy Polling (PPP) polled the contest, almost three months ago, Toomey held a 42-36 lead. Sestak has made up the difference by consolidating his support among Democrats, liberals, and moderates. He now has almost as much support among Democrats as Toomey does with the GOP.
Both candidates have moved their favorability ratings from slightly negative to slightly positive since April 1st. With greater publicity now that they are the chosen nominees, they are essentially equally popular. 30% and 29% have favorable opinions of Toomey and Sestak, respectively, while 28% view each unfavorably. PPP surveyed 609 Pennsylvania voters from June 19th to 21st. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.