Things Are Looking Up For The Republican Quest To Hold The House In 2018

There’s a lot of talk in the mainstream media about a wave election this November in which Democrats claim control of the House of Representatives and perhaps even the Senate.

But a closer look at the electoral board and some recent events provide evidence the Democrats continue to face an uphill and unlikely battle to retake control of either chamber.

Democrats point to victories in statewide elections in Virginia, New Jersey, and Alabama as well as in special elections in Wisconsin and Missouri as evidence they have the momentum and resources to gain the net 24 seats that would be required to retake the House.

There’s also the matter of history – the president’s party loses an average of 32 seats in the first midterm election and, since World War II, 36 if the president’s approval rating is below 50 percent.

In addition, 34 House Republicans have announced their retirement, with perhaps more on the way, and several incumbents who plan to seek re-election have been outraised so far by one or more of their Democratic challengers.

But just when things seemed darkest for Republicans, signs of light have begun to emerge. Between the humiliation of Democrats in the government shutdown, the growing popularity of the tax reform package (26 percent approval to 44 percent in less than a month), President Trump’s well-received State of the Union address and continued good news on the economy, voters appear to be taking a second look at the GOP.

Read more from Ford O'Connell at the Washington Examiner

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Analysis & Political Strategy