It’s hit that point in the election cycle where the competitive nature of Congressional races are shifting rapidly. Unfortunately for Democrats, the overwhelming majority of those shifts are in favor of Republicans.
The latest Senate race rating changes by CQ Politics includes five changes — in California, Washington, Wisconsin, Georgia and Iowa — that benefit Republican candidates. And Democrats can’t even catch a break on the sixth change, which moves Florida’s Senate race from Leans Republican to the more competitive Tossup category based solely of the strength of the Independent campaign run by Gov. Charlie Crist .
As Florida has becomes more of a headache for Senate Republicans three potential pick up opportunities are looking better and better for the GOP. CQ Politics is moving the Senate races in California, Washington and Wisconsin into the Tossup category from the less competitive category of Leans Democratic. All three seats are currently held by Democratic incumbents who weren’t even considered to be in any real danger at the beginning of the cycle.
Finally, CQ Politics is moving the Iowa and Georgia Senate races that feature GOP Sens. Chuck Grassley and Johnny Isakson from Likely Republican to the least competitive category of Safe Republican. Democrats may have once held dreams of challenging Isakson and Grassley but in a cycle where a dozen Democratic-held Senate seats are now in play the national party will be hard pressed to devote time and effort to longshots like Georgia and Iowa. What resources Democrats do have to go on the attack will likely be spent on four competitive GOP open seat contests in Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire and Ohio that represent their best chances of picking up seats this cycle — and possibly avoiding a Republican takeover of the Senate.