Sabato: Gingrich Would Be Electoral Nightmare For GOP

Famed political prognosticator asserts that if former House Speaker Newt Gingrich wins the 2012 GOP presidential nominee, not only would he lose badly but Nancy Pelosi would likely again be Speaker of the House. Paul Bedard at U.S. News has more:

Newt Gingrich's nomination as the GOP presidential candidate would not only lock in an Obama victory in November, but would also keep the Senate in Democratic hands and make Nancy Pelosi speaker again, according to elections predictor Larry Sabato's UVa Crystal Ball team.

Simply put, says Sabato, it would be a "Newt-Mare."

Looking at the Electoral College map and recent state polls, the Crystal Ball team found that Mitt Romney would keep Republican states red and would help turn some purple states red, making it possible for the former Massachusetts governor to eke out a slim victory over President Obama.

"Romney's the closest thing out there to a generic Republican available. He is not going to steal the presidency away from the incumbent if Obama's having a good year and the economy is solid. Rather, if the country is ready to make a change, then Romney would be a credible alternative," says Sabato.

A Gingrich nomination, however, would be "a nightmare for Republicans" by turning many purple states blue and giving Obama a starting point of 303 Electoral Votes, 33 more than needed.

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@Sarah_SV mentioned @PoliticalQB link to this page. 2012-01-29 14:56:56 -0500
Check out the Newt v Obama electoral college map RT @PoliticalQB Sabato: Gingrich Would Be Electoral Nightmare For #GOP http://t.co/N8tXtmdH
published this page in In The News 2012-01-29 13:57:00 -0500
Analysis & Political Strategy