From political prognosticator Nate Silver at The New York Times.
The FiveThirtyEight forecast model now projects a win for Mr. Romney by about four points in Michigan, roughly bisecting the Rasmussen Reports and Mitchell Research polls. Although that is inherently a fairly small margin, it is more meaningful given that there are just four full days of campaigning until Michigan votes; the model makes Mr. Romney about a 2:1 favorite in the state.
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Romney Takes Lead In Michigan, Projected To Win By Narrow Margin - http://t.co/sUjsMfwX #GOP

Romney Takes Lead In Michigan, Projected To Win By Narrow Margin - http://t.co/sUjsMfwX #GOP

Romney Takes Lead In Michigan, Projected To Win By Narrow Margin - http://t.co/sUjsMfwX #GOP

Romney Takes Lead In Michigan, Projected To Win By Narrow Margin - http://t.co/sUjsMfwX #GOP

Romney Takes Lead In Michigan, Projected To Win By Narrow Margin - http://t.co/sUjsMfwX #GOP

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