Ford O'Connell At Politico's Arena: If Cain Were A Dem, Media Probably Wouldn't Be So Eager To Push Story

The sexual harassment allegations against Herman Cain are relatively unsubstantiated at this juncture, but highly explosive and could damage Mr. Cain’s presidential bid.

I wonder if Cain had been a Democrat, would the mass media be so eager to push this story? Remember, it took the media a long time to catch on to former Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards’ sexual indiscretions.

Read more from Ford O'Connell at Politico's "The Arena"

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Can Herman Cain Actually Win The GOP Nomination?

From the start, Herman Cain has confounded the Republican elite. The former pizza magnate, Navy mathematician, and talk radio host with no political experience jumped into the presidential race with both feet way back in January and has never looked back.

Mr. Cain has enticed GOP voters with his catchy "9-9-9" tax plan and moved them with his up-by-the-bootstraps life story. He has also raised eyebrows with a series of gaffes, strange ads, and reports of "chaos" within his campaign. But he’s a robo-candidate, plowing ahead, ever-smiling. And he’s ahead in the polls among likely GOP primary voters, both nationally and in key early nominating states. His Achilles’ heel is fundraising and organization.

Could Cain actually win the Republican nomination? In theory, yes. But political analysts still view Cain as a long shot.

A story in The New York Times posted Wednesday quotes former aides describing a campaign that churns through staff, mishandles potential donors, and makes nonsensical scheduling decisions. All campaigns, especially those new to presidential politics, go through some disorder, but given that Cain’s argument for the presidency is his private-sector management experience, he has a lot to prove in short order.

“He has to win Iowa; I think that’s the real key,” says Ford O’Connell, chairman of the conservative Civic Forum PAC. “Should he win Iowa, people will show him how to build a national organization.” 

Still, Mr. O’Connell believes it’s “extremely unlikely” that Cain will go on to win the nomination, “given his lack of organization and campaign resources.”

Read more from Linda Feldmann at The Christian Science Monitor

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The Political Quarterback Archives

Visit the archives for more commentary and analysis from The Political Quarterback:

http://www.fordoconnell.com/category/in-print/page/4/

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2012 U.S. Senate Forecast - October 2011 Update

senatebreakdown-300x204.pngAside from winning the White House, the best way for the GOP to weaken President Obama’s power is for Republicans to win control of the U.S. Senate. In 2012, 33 Senate seats will be up (23 Democratic-held seats will be up for grabs and 10 GOP-held seats). Of those 33 seats, approximately 11 races will be competitive at this juncture. For the GOP to take control of the U.S. Senate in 2012 they would need to net four seats. Two Republican-held seats are in danger of flipping (Dean Heller in Nevada and Scott Brown in Massachusetts).

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2012 Electoral Map Projection - October 2011 Update

april-usmap-300x224.pngThe Political Quarterback's 2012 Electoral College scorecard remains relatively unchanged from July 2011. At the end of September, President Obama's approval rating continues to sag and polls show strong showings by candidates Romney, Perry and even Cain against the increasingly unpopular incumbent. 

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2011 Governors Races - October 2011 Update

Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi and West Virginia are electing governors in 2011, but the contests look to be competitive in only one state (West Virginia). In Louisiana and Mississippi, no strong Democratic candidate has emerged and there is no sign that the Democratic Governors Association has these two southern states on their radar for 2011. In Kentucky, the incumbent appears to be on track for an easy re-election. West Virginia's contest is still volatile, with the GOP candidate significantly closing the gap in recent polls.

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2011 Governors Races - August 2011 Update

Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi and West Virginia are electing governors in 2011, but the contests look to be competitive in only two states. In Louisiana and Mississippi, no strong Democratic candidate has emerged and there is no sign that the Democratic Governors Association has these two southern states on their radar for 2011. In Kentucky, the incumbent appears to be on track for an easy re-election. West Virginia's contest is still volatile, with the GOP candidate closing the gap in recent polls.

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2012 Electoral Map Projection - July 2011 Update

The Political Quarterback's 2012 Electoral College scorecard is showing a small shift away from President Barack Obama, with the addition of Pennsylvania to the "toss-up" column. The increasing uncertainty of the race is driven primarily by continuing consumer concern with jobs, the long-term economic outlook and rising gas prices. State by state breakdown below (see links to related articles below the chart):

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Ford O'Connell Discusses Mitt Romney on ABC News Radio

CivicForumPAC's Ford O'Connell discussed Mitt Romney's campaign kickoff today with John Barron of ABC News Radio (Australia).

Click here to listen to audio.

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Ford O'Connell on Swiss Radio: The Osama Effect, Rising Gas Prices And The 2012 GOP Field

Listen to the audio: SR-DRS 4 May 2011.

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