Political operatives on both sides of the aisle say Hillary Clinton shouldn’t take her hefty lead in most polls over Donald Trump for granted, to avoid being blindsided by a late Trump surge and sharing Martha Coakley’s fate in her upset loss in the 2010 U.S. Senate race to Scott Brown.
Clinton is leading by as many as 12 percentage points in much of the recent polling, though several polls have Trump 1 to 2 points ahead. A map maintained by RealClearPolitics has Clinton with a 307-131 electoral vote lead over Trump, with 50 up for grabs. A candidate needs 270 to clinch.
GOP strategist Ford O’Connell said turnout is the wild card.
“The one saving grace Trump really has is the turnout,” he said.
Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway told Fox News yesterday polls only account for reliable voters, “not really bringing in people who haven’t voted in a long time, the lapse voters or first-time voters who are truly enthusiastic about Donald Trump as an outsider trying to really shake up the system.”