The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters in Ohio shows Republican Rob Portman picking up 45% support, while his Democratic opponent, Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher, earns the vote from 37%. Five percent (5%) prefer a different candidate, and 13% are undecided.
In every survey conducted this year, Portman’s support has stayed in the very narrow range of 42% to 45% of the vote. For Fisher, this survey represents his lowest level of support since regular tracking of the race began in February. Prior to this latest poll, his support had ranged from 38% to 43%.
Last month, Portman, a former congressman and Bush administration official, had a 44% to 40% advantage.
When leaners are included in the new totals, Portman’s lead grows from eight points to nine. With the leaners, 48% will vote for Portman and 39% for Fisher.
This is the first Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 survey in Ohio to include leaners. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate.
With this latest survey, Ohio shifts from Toss-Up to Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power summary.
It’s interesting to note, however, that 65% of Fisher’s voters say they are already certain of how they will vote, compared to just 59% of those who support Portman.
The statewide survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on August 16, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.