Obama Campaign Looks To Suppress White Turnout In 2012

Can Team Romney maximize turnout among white voters, particularly white working class voters? If not, Romney will lose. From Buzzfeed's John Ellis:

President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign has spent more than $100 million on advertising over the last 3 months. Much, if not most, of it has been produced to shred Mitt Romney's reputation and suppress turnout among white voters who might vote for Romney. The outlook for August is more of the same. The outlook for September and October is probably a lot more of the same.

The 2012 president election, boiled down to its remaining variables, is about two things: (1) white voters who voted for Barrack Obama last time and have since grown disillusioned and, (2) white voters who stayed home in 2008 rather than vote for John McCain but may vote this time. The Obama campaign's goal is to make both groups stay home rather than vote. It's not a "negative campaign" they're running. It's purposefully toxic.

Fast forward to 2012. Black turnout indicators are down, substantially. Hispanic turnout indicators are down, substantially. The youth vote, as a percentage of the total vote, is expected to revert to form. White voters are now expected to comprise 75% of the total electorate. 

If President Obama gets 40% of the white vote, he has a chance to win re-election. If President Obama gets 35% of the white vote, he's finished.

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@jdifrancis tweeted link to this page. 2012-08-04 10:21:19 -0400
Obama Campaign Looks To Suppress White Turnout In 2012 http://t.co/jmeqYGSP via @PoliticalQB
@penguinponders mentioned @PoliticalQB link to this page. 2012-08-04 10:15:44 -0400
Obama Campaign Looks To Suppress White Turnout In 2012 http://t.co/jmeqYGSP via @PoliticalQB
published this page in In The News 2012-08-04 10:10:16 -0400
Analysis & Political Strategy