Mitt Romney’s Popularity On The Decline With GOP Primary Voters

While former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is still the odds on favorite to win the 2012 GOP nomination, his supporters should be concerned. According to Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling (PPP), Romney’s popularity is fading with Republican primary voters.

There are 13 places PPP has polled the Republican race in October or November where it also did a poll sometime between January and March.  In those places Romney’s net favorability has dropped by an average of 15 points over the course of the year.

On average Romney’s favorability with primary voters was 54/25 in these 13 places at the begininng of the year. Now it’s only 50/35. His problem is partially that his positives have gone down but more than that it’s that as his name recognition has increased, most folks moving off the fence have gone into the negative column.

What’s most remarkable about the decline in Romney’s popularity is how uniform it’s been- he’s less popular now than he was at the start of the year in all 13 places where there are polls to compare. And in 11 out of the 13 places that decline in his net favorability has been at least 14 points- the only places with more modest declines are Maine and North Carolina.

This is why as Donald Trump and Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry and Herman Cain have risen and fallen Romney hasn’t seen any increase in his support- GOP voters just simply aren’t warming up to him at all- in fact they’re going in the other direction.

State Romney in Jan/Feb/Mar Romney in Oct/Nov Shift
West Virginia 56/18 (+38) 42/27 (+15) -23
Pennsylvania 52/25 (+27) 46/39 (+7) -20
Arizona 62/22 (+40) 56/34 (+22) -18
Ohio 53/26 (+27) 47/37 (+10) -17
Nebraska 51/23 (+28) 45/34 (+11) -17
Iowa 57/26 (+31) 51/36 (+15) -16
Nevada 70/18 (+52) 63/27 (+36) -16
Mississippi 48/36 (+12) 40/44 (-4) -16
National 52/28 (+24) 48/39 (+9) -15
California 59/22 (+37) 55/33 (+22) -15
Wisconsin 49/25 (+24) 47/37 (+10) -14
Maine 47/31 (+16) 51/37 (+14) -2
North Carolina 50/26 (+24) 53/30 (+23) -1

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