The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Republican candidate Paul LePage receiving 39% of the vote, while Democrat Libby Mitchell picks up 31%. Democrat-turned-independent Eliot Cutler now earns 15% support. Three percent (3%) favor some other candidate, and 12% are undecided at this point.
In Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the race last month, LePage led his opponents with 43% support, while Mitchell picked up 36%. Cutler only earned seven percent (7%) of the vote at that time.
LePage carries 78% of Republican votes, while Mitchell captures just 52% of Democrats. Cutler wins 20% of Democrats and five percent (5%) of Republicans. Among voters not affiliated with either major party in the state, LePage picks up 41% support to Mitchell’s 18% and Cutler’s 16%.
LePage, the mayor of Waterville, won a seven-way GOP Primary race last month, while Mitchell, president of the State Senate, emerged on top in a four-way Democratic race. Cutler, a longtime Democratic Party activist, is viewed as the strongest of three independents who are running.
The nominees are competing for the position currently held by term-limited Democratic Governor John Baldacci. Just 37% of Maine’s voters approve of the job Baldacci is doing, while 60% disapprove.
At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Maine was conducted on July 14, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.