GOP Presidential Race Becoming A One-Man Battle

From The New York Times' Nate Silver:

Increasingly, the nomination race is entering an endgame stage in which it is less a two-man contest between Mr. Romney and Mr. Santorum than one that pits Mr. Romney against himself. How certain is Mr. Romney to get the 1,144 delegates required to clinch the Republican nomination? And if he gets them, how soon will he do it?

Mr. Romney, who has 563 delegates, according to an Associated Press count, is almost halfway to the clinching threshold.

It’s also enough to permit him some slack. Mr. Romney would need to win only 46 percent of the remaining delegates to get to 1,144.

The soonest that Mr. Romney could officially clinch the nomination is May 22, when Arkansas and Kentucky vote.

The race will continue on until Mr. Romney clinches or everyone else quits, but the only real question is whether Mr. Romney could somehow beat himself.

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published this page in In The News 2012-03-21 12:55:21 -0400
Analysis & Political Strategy