Republicans are likely to lose seats in the House next November, but Nancy Pelosi will have to do more than just channel her inner-Sam Rayburn for the GOP to lose control of the lower chamber.
For the Democrats to net 25 seats: the economy would have to significantly improve, Rick Santorum would have to be the GOP presidential nominee, and Pelosi would have to promise not to take over the gavel should the Democrats win back the House.
There are still a lot of unknown variables, and stranger things have happened, but I prefer to deal in a modicum of reality.
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