A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Chris Dudley (R) earning 47% of the vote to John Kitzhaber’s (D) 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
Last month, Dudley, a former professional basketball player turned businessman, led Kitzhaber by a virtually identical 47% to 45%. After winning their respective party primaries in mid-May, Dudley earned 45% support to Kitzhaber’s 44%.
Dudley leads his Democratic challenger by double digits among male voters in the state. However, Kitzhaber, who already served as governor for two terms from 1995 to 2003, holds a slight advantage among females. Voters not affiliated with either major political party favor the Republican by 10 points in this matchup.
Just four percent (4%) of Oregon voters describe the economy as good, while 60% say it’s poor. This is a higher level of pessimism than is found in most states nationally. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say the economy is getting better, but 47% say it’s getting worse.
Seventy-nine percent (79%) of voters who think the economy is improving favor Kitzhaber. Seventy-three percent (73%) of those who say it is worsening support Dudley.
An overwhelming majority (77%) of Oregon voters say the United States is in a recession, higher than the national average.
Thirty-eight percent (38%) say the $787-billion economic stimulus plan helped the economy, but 36% believe it hurt economically. This is higher confidence in the stimulus than is found nationally.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Oregon voters favor an Arizona-like immigration law in their state, comparable to findings nationwide. Thirty percent (30%) oppose such legislation.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Oregon was conducted on July 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.