Incumbent Republican C.L. “Butch” Otter still leads the race for Idaho’s next governor.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Idaho finds that Otter holds a sizable 52% to 36% advantage over his Democratic challenger, Keith Allred. Just seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are not sure.
Numbers have hardly changed since July, when Otter held a 53% to 36% lead. The Republican held a 32-point advantage over his Democratic challenger – 60% to 32% – in the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the race in late March.
While Otter’s lead has fallen since then, he is still running above the 50% safe line for incumbents. Also, any Democratic candidate faces long odds in Idaho. The state hasn’t elected a Democratic governor in 20 years.
This race remains Solid GOP in the Rasmussen Reports 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters regard Otter as Very Conservative. Thirty-nine percent (39%) consider him Somewhat Conservative.
Voters are less sure of Allred’s ideological views. Thirty-six percent (36%) regard him as Moderate, and 23% consider him to be liberal. But 25% do not know enough about the Democratic candidate to offer ideological analysis.
A majority of voters (58%) considers Otter’s views mainstream, while 25% say his views are extreme. Eighteen percent (18%) don’t know enough about the Republican incumbent to determine his views.
Again, voters are slightly more divided when it comes to Allred’s political views. Thirty-two percent (32%) say his views are mainstream, while 25% say extreme. A full 43% do not know either way.
This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Idaho was conducted on August 31, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.